Robustness of systematic risk across time scales

نویسندگان

  • Ramazan Gençay
  • Faruk Selçuk
  • Brandon Whitcher
چکیده

In this paper we propose a new approach to estimating the systematic risk (the beta of an asset) in a capital asset pricing model (CAPM). The proposed method is based on a wavelet multiscaling approach that decomposes a given time series on a scale-by-scale basis. At each scale, the wavelet variance of the market return and the wavelet covariance between the market return and a portfolio are calculated to obtain an estimate of the portfolio’s beta. The empirical results show that the relationship between the return of a portfolio and its beta becomes stronger as the wavelet scale increases. Therefore, the predictions of the CAPMmodel are more relevant at mediumlong run as compared to short time horizons.

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تاریخ انتشار 2002